Book Review: Optionality

Optionality (How to Survive and Thrive in a Volatile World) is a book by finance journalist Richard Meadows about how to succeed in a volatile world. It’s about 438 pages long with 6 chapters. Some themes in the book are FIRE, working, etc. The author maintains a blog at The Deep Dish.

1. Eudaimonia (Flourishing)

State of flourishing

Possibility tree:

  • Beach 🏖️

“I saw my life branching out before me like the green fig tree in the story.” – Sylvia Plath

Consumer capitalism can steal money, time, attention

  • a) Have more money (healthy bank balance)
  • b) Require less of it (simple tastes)
  • Currencies of life – time, health, mental bandwidth, energy, status, hedonic pleasure, meaning
  • Min-maxing
  • Mr Money Mustache 〰️
  • Acting dead
  • Youth + mobility
  • Thoreau was kind of a hypocrite
  • The beauty of minimalism is the sense of possibility it creates
  • Frugality is about opening your options

Opening your options:

  • High-quality options = doors that could lead to treasure chests 💰
  • Low-quality options = dead ends, bottomless pits of doom
  • Risk management
    • Asymmetrical relationship – motorcycles 🏍️, drugs
    • Modest returns – Uber, stocks, TV
    • Sexy relationship – side-hustles, VC style bets, books (view quake), messaging strangers

Abundance:

  • Kidney stones

Hedonic treadmill | adaptation

  • Peacock tail 🦚 – signaling

Wireheading | instant happy

The physiology of motivation – 1954 (Stellar)

4 factors of optionality:

  • Financial capital

  • Social capital

  • Knowledge capital

  • Health capital

  • Capping downside more important

  • Winning is about non-losing

  • Matthew effect (Matthew 25:29)

2. Akrasia (Weakness of Will)

State of acting against one’s better judgment

  • There is no single you
    • Captain 🚢 (ego) | Old Timer 👴 (superego) | Monkey 🐒 | Reptile 🦎 (id)
  • Goal setting
    • Goodhart’s Law – when a KPI becomes a target, it’s no longer a good KPI

Siren song:

Geoffrey Miller – self-stimulating | status-seeking

  • $5 per kg of necessities
  • Faux optionality | paradox of choice

10 creatures of habit:

  • Choice architecture
    • Trivial inconvenience – friction
    • Ulysses contract
    • Set + forget
  • Cue, routine, reward

11. Social contagion

3. Praxis (Practice)

Barbell strategy:

Expectations

  • Create artificial scarcity to increase gratitude

  • Halo effect 😇

  • Testosterone – belly fat – aromatase – oestrogen

Lindy effect: the longer an idea/thing stays around – the longer we can predict it to survive

Social capital:

  • Get in at ground floor
  • Max exposure to serendipity
  • Dunbar’s number – 150 casual friends

4. Rhizikon (Risk)

Debt

5. Kairos (Right Moment)

Exploring vs. exploiting

Trapped in local maxima vs. global maximum due to premature exploitation

PG – start with something small

  • Follow your blisters

Effectuation:

Sarasvathy 4 principles

  • Bird-in-hand
  • Lemonade principle 🍋
  • Crazy quilt
  • Affordable loss

A time to obey and rebel

Better to rule in hell (Paradise Lost – Milton)

F you money:

  • F you frugality
    • Ben Franklin
  • F you career capital

Archetypes:

  • Peter Pan man child
  • Trustafarian wanderer
  • Constantly dating New Yorker
  • Dilettante who flits from job to job
  • Early retiree who goes into a funk

Escapism

Or get optionality to lever yourself into an enjoyable career

  1. Flow states
  2. Other people
  3. Hierarchy
  4. Impact

(Workism) – Derek Thompson

“Freedom is the power to choose our own chains” – Rousseau

6. Telos (Completion)

Status games

Conspicuous simplicity

Conclusion

I think the book is OK. It’s a little edgy but there are some OK ideas floating around in it. I’d give it ★★★☆☆.

One great idea from Richard is the concept of an idea quake (an idea that changes your perspective on things).

References

  1. The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
  2. Miller – Spent Speed Summary
  3. Nudge – Thaler
  4. Book Review of Optionality

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